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Varian Medical Systems Inc.
(VAR)
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| Sector: |
Healthcare |
| Industry: |
Medical Appliances & Equipment |
| Stock Type: | Aggressive Growth |
| Top Industry Grower: | VNUS |
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The Numbers
| metric | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
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| Return on Capital | -4.9% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 23.0% | 26.1% | 29.8% | 31.8% | 28.2% | 29.4% |
| Equity/Share | $1.52 | $2.10 | $2.90 | $3.38 | $3.97 | $4.32 | $4.81 | $5.91 | $6.32 | $8.09 |
| Earnings/Share | $0.07 | $0.41 | $0.50 | $0.67 | $0.92 | $1.18 | $1.50 | $1.80 | $1.83 | $2.31 |
| FCF/Share | $-0.60 | $0.50 | $0.75 | $0.93 | $1.34 | $1.48 | $1.52 | $1.19 | $1.82 | $2.29 |
| Sales/Share | $4.84 | $5.35 | $5.69 | $6.24 | $7.34 | $8.70 | $10.09 | $11.84 | $13.67 | $16.30 |
| Gross Margin | 35.6% | 37.3% | 37.1% | 38.9% | 40.5% | 41.9% | 42.9% | 41.5% | 41.3% | 42.4% |
The Growth Rates
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FCFPS
| 7.5 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
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| 24% | 13% | 11% | 37% |
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The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
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| 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
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growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
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| 2% | -0% | -6% | 4% | 1% |
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Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| VAR | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
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| 132.21 | 96.10 | 58.50 |
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cash/debt
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
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| -127.7 | 1.42 | 2.02 | 2.66 | 3.59 | 3.99 | 4.2 | 3.52 | 3.32 |
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equity/debt
| 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
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| 3.12 | 4.55 | 6.67 | 8.33 | 10.0 | 11.11 | 11.11 | 16.67 | 20.0 | 33.33 |
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assets/liabilities
| 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
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| 1.52 | 1.81 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.15 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.12 | 1.95 | 2.08 |
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The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
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| VAR | 1.12 | 1.17 | 0.94 | 0.67 | | Industry | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.68 | 8.08 | | Market | 0.71 | 1.26 | 1.05 | 1.04 |
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Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
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| VAR | 15.4 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | | Industry | 22.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | | Market | 13.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 9.4 | 3.0 |
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The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
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| 18.7% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | 13.2% | | Priced-In Growth | 18.6% | | Intrinsic Growth | 18.3% |
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Mulitple History
| 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
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| 107.8 | 23.0 | 31.9 | 29.3 | 28.7 | 31.7 | 25.4 | 28.2 | 24.6 | 22.3 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 25.1 | | High Growth Estimate | 36.5 | | Five Year Avgerage | 27.1 |
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Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
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| | | | | | | 10.1 |
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Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
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| Current Price | 15.4 | $2.19 | $33.78 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 23.9 | $2.16 | $51.52 | 1.525 | 34.4% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 17.1 | $2.19 | $37.45 | 1.109 | 9.8% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 14.4 | $2.19 | $31.43 | 0.931 | -7.5% | | EPS estimated FY09 Price | 18.9 | $2.58 | $48.66 | 1.441 | 30.6% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.27 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 1.12 | | Short % of Float | 5.8% |
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