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TransDigm Group Incorporated
(TDG)
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| Sector: |
Industrial Goods |
| Industry: |
Aerospace/Defense Products & Services |
| Stock Type: | Aggressive Growth |
| Top Industry Grower: | HWK |
The Numbers
| metric | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| Return on Capital | --- | 0.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% |
| Equity/Share | --- | $10.75 | $7.72 | $10.16 | $12.53 |
| Earnings/Share | --- | $1.11 | $0.53 | $1.83 | $2.40 |
| FCF/Share | --- | $2.35 | $-0.11 | $2.13 | $3.30 |
| Sales/Share | --- | $12.07 | $9.26 | $12.35 | $14.13 |
| Gross Margin | 45.4% | 49.2% | 50.9% | 52.1% | 53.5% |
The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 21% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 4% |
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growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 2% | 16% | 19% | 113% | 11% |
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Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| TDG | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
|---|
| 3.00 | 27.00 | 52.90 |
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cash/debt
| 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 0.09 | 0.0 | 0.08 |
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equity/debt
| 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 0.05 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.45 |
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assets/liabilities
| 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 1.3 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.38 |
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The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
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| TDG | 0.37 | 1.60 | 1.30 | 0.41 | | Industry | 0.57 | 0.94 | 0.69 | 0.24 | | Market | 0.49 | 0.97 | 0.81 | 1.00 |
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Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
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| TDG | 11.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 0.0 | | Industry | 10.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 0.0 | | Market | 13.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 3.5 |
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The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 20.0% | 20.0% | 28.0% | 16.2% | 38.6% | 38.6% | 15.1% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | 7.1% | | Priced-In Growth | 25.7% | | Intrinsic Growth | 24.9% |
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Mulitple History
| 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| 45.9 | 18.6 | 11.3 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 17.6 | | High Growth Estimate | 49.9 | | Five Year Avgerage | 25.3 |
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Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
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| | | | | | 9.5 | |
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Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
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| Current Price | 11.3 | $2.40 | $27.23 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 16.7 | $2.33 | $38.96 | 1.431 | 30.1% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 7.4 | $2.40 | $17.69 | 0.650 | -53.9% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 9.7 | $2.40 | $23.29 | 0.855 | -16.9% | | EPS estimated FY08 Price | 11.3 | $2.79 | $31.63 | 1.162 | 13.9% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.46 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 1.23 | | Short % of Float | 7.9% |
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