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Smith International Inc.
(SII)
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| Sector: |
Basic Materials |
| Industry: |
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services |
| Stock Type: | Hard Asset |
| Top Industry Grower: | WG |
The Numbers
| metric | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| Return on Capital | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 16.1% |
| Equity/Share | $3.28 | $3.67 | $4.07 | $4.75 | $5.32 | $6.15 | $6.83 | $7.74 | $9.84 | $12.91 | $22.00 |
| Earnings/Share | $0.18 | $0.29 | $0.36 | $0.76 | $0.47 | $0.62 | $0.89 | $1.48 | $2.49 | $3.20 | $3.60 |
| FCF/Share | $0.03 | $0.06 | $-0.18 | $0.39 | $1.13 | $0.22 | $0.34 | $0.20 | $-0.11 | $1.66 | $1.98 |
| Sales/Share | $10.98 | $9.22 | $13.74 | $17.76 | $15.85 | $17.88 | $21.56 | $27.35 | $36.30 | $43.60 | $49.08 |
| Gross Margin | 29.7% | 25.9% | 27.0% | 29.4% | 29.0% | 29.9% | 30.6% | 30.2% | 32.0% | 32.6% | 32.5% |
The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
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growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 2% | 11% | -5% | 31% | -1% |
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Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| SII | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
| 22.40 | 32.90 | 58.10 |
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cash/debt
| 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.3 | 0.54 | 0.25 | 0.3 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.7 |
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equity/debt
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 1.72 | 2.08 | 2.17 | 1.75 | 2.38 | 2.5 | 3.57 | 2.56 | 2.5 | 3.03 | 3.12 |
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assets/liabilities
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 1.56 | 1.61 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.72 |
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The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
| SII | 0.30 | -0.66 | -0.69 | 0.31 | | Industry | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 4.94 | | Market | 0.38 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 1.07 |
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Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
| SII | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 2.5 | | Industry | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 0.5 | | Market | 13.0 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 3.2 |
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The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 22.3% | 18.0% | 20.7% | 23.9% | 31.5% | 29.3% | 20.3% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | -9.2% | | Priced-In Growth | 21.5% | | Intrinsic Growth | 25.9% | | WACC | 7.6% |
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Mulitple History
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 56.1 | 34.9 | 49.1 | 20.3 | 34.4 | 29.7 | 30.4 | 21.8 | 16.4 | 17.8 | 6.0 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 15.0 | | High Growth Estimate | 42.9 | | Five Year Avgerage | 25.7 |
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Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
| | | | | | | 10.2 |
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Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
| Current Price | 6.1 | $3.60 | $21.93 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 9.0 | $4.31 | $38.76 | 1.767 | 43.4% | | Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) | --- | --- | $-5.44 | -0.248 | 503.0% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 4.6 | $3.60 | $16.63 | 0.758 | -31.9% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 11.3 | $3.60 | $40.62 | 1.852 | 46.0% | | EPS estimated FY08 Price | 6.0 | $3.84 | $23.20 | 1.058 | 5.5% | | ROIC-WACC Spread | 8.53% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.06 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 0.16 | | Short % of Float | 3.5% |
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