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Forest Laboratories Inc.
(FRX)
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| Sector: |
Healthcare |
| Industry: |
Drug Manufacturers - Other |
| Stock Type: | Classic Growth |
| Top Industry Grower: | ALXN |
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The Numbers
| metric | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| Return on Capital | 11.4% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 23.7% | 31.3% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 25.3% |
| Equity/Share | $2.17 | $2.52 | $3.35 | $4.39 | $6.31 | $8.66 | $8.42 | $7.93 | $9.39 | $11.76 | $12.51 |
| Earnings/Share | $0.23 | $0.32 | $0.59 | $0.91 | $1.66 | $1.95 | $2.25 | $2.08 | $1.41 | $3.06 | $3.10 |
| FCF/Share | $0.04 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $1.05 | $1.74 | $1.40 | $2.25 | $1.59 | $2.66 | $3.66 | $3.57 |
| Sales/Share | $1.82 | $2.56 | $3.30 | $4.23 | $5.92 | $7.05 | $8.21 | $8.22 | $9.89 | $11.08 | $11.77 |
| Gross Margin | 78.1% | 76.0% | 76.4% | 76.3% | 77.1% | 77.0% | 77.5% | 76.7% | 76.6% | 77.2% | 77.3% |
The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
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growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 1% | -1% | 2% | -6% | -3% |
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Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| FRX | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
| 314,887.00 | 22.70 | 58.10 |
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cash/debt
| 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | 5.98 |
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growth
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| -74% | -91% | -98% | -100% |
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equity/debt
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | Low Debt | 20.0 | 16.67 |
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growth
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| -67% | -89% | -97% | -17% |
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assets/liabilities
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 6.65 | 5.15 | 6.44 | 5.97 | 5.15 | 6.36 | 6.47 | 7.39 | 5.81 | 5.59 | 5.64 |
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The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
| FRX | -1.55 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.80 | | Industry | 0.55 | 1.07 | 0.75 | 8.31 | | Market | 0.40 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 1.07 |
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Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
| FRX | 8.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | | Industry | 16.7 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 9.8 | 0.0 | | Market | 13.0 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 3.2 |
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The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
| 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | 8.8% | | Priced-In Growth | 9.2% | | Intrinsic Growth | 13.0% |
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Mulitple History
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
| 46.4 | 42.3 | 47.4 | 40.7 | 26.3 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 19.5 | 33.7 | 13.7 | 8.0 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 15.9 | | High Growth Estimate | 18.3 | | Five Year Avgerage | 22.2 |
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Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
| | | | | | 9.8 | |
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Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
| Current Price | 8.0 | $3.10 | $24.67 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 12.0 | $3.68 | $44.14 | 1.789 | 44.1% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 8.0 | $3.10 | $24.67 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 11.4 | $3.10 | $35.30 | 1.431 | 30.1% | | EPS estimated FY08 Price | 8.0 | $3.28 | $26.14 | 1.060 | 5.6% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.19 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 0.40 | | Short % of Float | 1.0% |
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