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Archer-Daniels-Midland Co.
(ADM)
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| Sector: |
Consumer Goods |
| Industry: |
Farm Products |
| Stock Type: | Aggressive Growth |
| Top Industry Grower: | CQB |
ADM was last updated 19 days 18 hours 36 minutes ago. Use MrStockQuickie's
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The Numbers
| metric | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| Return on Capital | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% |
| Equity/Share | $9.11 | $9.13 | $9.08 | $10.30 | $10.94 | $11.90 | $12.86 | $14.95 | $17.15 | $20.88 | $20.98 |
| Earnings/Share | $0.41 | $0.45 | $0.55 | $0.78 | $0.70 | $0.76 | $1.59 | $2.00 | $3.30 | $2.79 | $3.74 |
| FCF/Share | $0.80 | $0.58 | $0.85 | $1.78 | $1.02 | $-0.74 | $2.29 | $0.94 | $-1.36 | $-7.71 | $1.21 |
| Sales/Share | $20.85 | $19.25 | $28.77 | $35.75 | $47.54 | $55.88 | $54.79 | $55.79 | $67.10 | $108.07 | $121.16 |
| Gross Margin | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
The Growth Rates
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FCFPS
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
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| -8% | -13% | -26% | 40% |
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The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 4% | 3% | 5% | -4% | 4% |
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growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
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| 1% | 0% | -7% | 13% | 4% |
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Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| ADM | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
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| 12.58 | 3.90 | 58.00 |
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cash/debt
| 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 0.29 | 0.06 | -14,249.0 |
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growth
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
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| -7% | -13% | -21% | -50% |
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equity/debt
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 2.17 | 1.82 | 2.04 | 2.38 | 2.44 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
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growth
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
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| -1% | -3% | -10% | 0% |
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assets/liabilities
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 1.8 | 1.74 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.7 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.57 | 1.64 |
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The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
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| ADM | 0.34 | -0.44 | -0.54 | 0.64 | | Industry | -0.22 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 6.23 | | Market | 0.37 | 0.79 | 0.61 | 1.10 |
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Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
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| ADM | 7.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 1.8 | | Industry | 16.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 33.2 | 0.7 | | Market | 13.1 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 3.1 |
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The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
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| 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 21.6% | -11.1% | 20.5% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | -17.1% | | Priced-In Growth | 15.0% | | Intrinsic Growth | 10.8% |
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Mulitple History
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
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| 33.8 | 24.0 | 19.8 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 19.9 | 12.6 | 14.6 | 11.0 | 13.9 | 7.6 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 11.2 | | High Growth Estimate | 21.5 | | Five Year Avgerage | 16.0 |
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Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
|---|
| | | 6.0 | | | | |
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Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
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| Current Price | 7.6 | $3.74 | $28.35 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 11.0 | $3.10 | $34.19 | 1.206 | 17.1% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 7.7 | $3.74 | $28.65 | 1.011 | 1.0% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 13.4 | $3.74 | $50.03 | 1.765 | 43.3% | | EPS estimated FY08 Price | 7.6 | $3.43 | $26.03 | 0.918 | -8.9% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.11 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 0.05 |
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