|
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
(AAP)
|
| |
| Sector: |
Services |
| Industry: |
Auto Parts Stores |
| Stock Type: | Classic Growth |
| Top Industry Grower: | AAP |
AAP was last updated 35 days 20 hours 24 minutes ago. Use MrStockQuickie's
Free Value Investor Tool to view this data in real time.
The Numbers
| metric | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| Return on Capital | 12.5% | 1.2% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| Equity/Share | $1.84 | $3.32 | $4.34 | $5.64 | $6.39 | $8.44 | $9.63 | $9.84 | $10.90 |
| Earnings/Share | $0.20 | $0.20 | $0.69 | $1.12 | $1.66 | $2.13 | $2.16 | $2.28 | $2.56 |
| FCF/Share | $0.39 | $0.46 | $1.34 | $2.27 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0.70 | $1.92 | $2.14 |
| Sales/Share | $26.92 | $28.94 | $30.44 | $31.19 | $33.37 | $39.13 | $43.14 | $46.58 | $51.53 |
| Gross Margin | 39.2% | 42.7% | 44.0% | 45.9% | 46.5% | 47.2% | 47.7% | 47.9% | 48.3% |
The Trends
long term trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
|
growth acceleration trend
| ROIC | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 1% | -5% | -11% | 12% | 0% |
|
Quick Financial Health
ebit/interest [on debt]
| AAP | EQUITY_INDUSTRY | market |
|---|
| 12.50 | 7.40 | 58.30 |
|
cash/debt
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.1 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
|
|
equity/debt
| 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| Low Debt | 0.31 | 0.65 | 1.49 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 2.17 | 2.04 | 2.27 |
|
|
assets/liabilities
| 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.17 | 1.31 | 1.47 | 1.49 | 1.57 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
|
|
The Ratios
PEG
| Entity | Current | Next Year (Current PE) | Next Year (Forward PE) | Five Year |
|---|
| AAP | 0.87 | 2.37 | 2.39 | 0.88 | | Industry | -0.02 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 9.68 | | Market | 0.42 | 0.90 | 0.67 | 0.96 |
|
Valuations
| Entity | Price/Earnings | Price/Book | Price/Sales | Price/Cash Flow | Div. Yield (%) |
|---|
| AAP | 10.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 0.9 | | Industry | 10.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 0.4 | | Market | 12.0 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 3.9 |
|
The Pricing Metrics
Growth Rates
| Zacks | Reuters | Thomson Fin. | BVPS | EPS | FCFPS | SPS |
|---|
| 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | | Next Year's Growth Estimate | 4.6% | | Priced-In Growth | 12.9% | | Intrinsic Growth | 14.4% | | WACC | 6.0% |
|
Mulitple History
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | TTM |
|---|
| 116.0 | 29.6 | 18.5 | 16.1 | 17.9 | 17.1 | 16.4 | 11.0 | | Front Loaded Estimate | 14.9 | | High Growth Estimate | 25.8 | | Five Year Avgerage | 19.1 |
|
Quality and Value
Quality (0-10)
| Inferior | Low | Below Avg. | Average | Above Avg. | High | Superior |
|---|
| | | | | 9.0 | | |
|
Valuations
| | PE | EPS | PRICE | VALUE/PRICE | MOS |
|---|
| Current Price | 10.9 | $2.58 | $28.16 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Intrinsic Value | 14.5 | $2.75 | $39.92 | 1.418 | 29.5% | | Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) | --- | --- | $7.11 | 0.252 | -296.1% | | Price Adjusted for Industry | 10.9 | $2.58 | $28.16 | 1.000 | 0.0% | | Price Adjusted for Market | 12.0 | $2.58 | $31.01 | 1.101 | 9.2% | | EPS estimated FY08 Price | 11.0 | $2.60 | $28.53 | 1.013 | 1.3% | | ROIC-WACC Spread | 10.30% | | EPS Quality (OIPS/E) | 1.65 | | Cash Quality (FCFPS/EPS) | 0.45 | | Short % of Float | 3.5% |
|
